Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 964.349035 1098.097553 1249.250686 1433.849172 1654.731179 1912.460789 2238.760089
2025-03-09 767.442822 939.308478 1152.793740 1441.944766 1830.440264 2344.960279 3096.559072
2025-03-16 654.773876 836.432053 1075.318114 1420.500457 1920.561520 2642.310930 3810.194183
2025-03-23 589.375214 779.845972 1042.498989 1443.592474 2064.422304 3033.297466 4760.568703
2025-03-30 520.463606 706.889751 973.286054 1397.684142 2089.584886 3239.609868 5462.989753
2025-04-06 466.703454 648.009756 915.066125 1356.391836 2109.619333 3434.966098 6198.791107
2025-04-13 420.762095 595.136610 858.650537 1308.016862 2106.228152 3583.844830 6886.882284
2025-04-20 401.448269 580.036220 858.048290 1349.956974 2266.474013 4071.667705 8476.716885
2025-04-27 378.755367 557.132784 841.885734 1361.945622 2372.225132 4475.670413 10042.622963
2025-05-04 361.822713 541.589874 835.723446 1390.100658 2513.436202 4990.270825 12139.482876
2025-05-11 345.521100 525.448530 826.553107 1410.852731 2642.729871 5512.827629 14544.606087
2025-05-18 334.627591 517.228710 830.004144 1455.735741 2831.768220 6235.716678 18043.662933
2025-05-25 321.285319 504.650385 826.085687 1489.174852 3011.653080 7022.068445 22495.736708
2025-06-01 304.870985 485.527470 808.612237 1493.230571 3126.593164 7682.208718 27126.030385
2025-06-08 287.005516 462.282527 780.957118 1471.486793 3173.162754 8159.030961 31452.096331
2025-06-15 276.240320 450.922334 774.776503 1495.536824 3342.855824 9096.333707 39303.746570
2025-06-22 258.473791 425.405545 738.652606 1447.535391 3310.087792 9343.986156 43601.664057
2025-06-29 242.803316 402.737160 706.314984 1404.359711 3282.908986 9607.999430 48473.875478
2025-07-06 227.696528 380.184704 672.471616 1353.802216 3225.745430 9745.440841 52773.187068
2025-07-13 223.019179 377.062638 677.862875 1397.633502 3456.191486 11121.562537 69742.869792
2025-07-20 215.700748 368.337756 670.847791 1410.165866 3595.285089 12201.163976 87190.147725
2025-07-27 210.334166 363.034849 670.555265 1439.603115 3796.534183 13685.806805 114389.145968
2025-08-03 204.629915 356.670605 667.411434 1461.305004 3978.977313 15208.644205 149396.601047